The country's gross domestic product (GDP) growth is likely to be 8.8 to 9 per cent in the current financial year, driven by agriculture and industry sectors, Care Ratings said in a report. The country's economy had contracted by 7.3 per cent in fiscal 2020-21. The agency said the outlook for the Indian economy on almost all counts in FY22 would look seemingly better than FY21 on account of the negative base effect.
The revision will do little to help the Congress party-led ruling alliance, which faces an uphill battle in elections due by May amid allegations of economic mismanagement, corruption scams and high inflation.
Wholesale price inflation remained in the negative territory for the fourth month in a row in July at (-)1.36 per cent, even though prices of food items, especially vegetables, skyrocketed. The inflation, however, has inched up from (-)4.12 per cent recorded in June fuelled by 62.12 per cent rise in vegetable prices. In July last year, wholesale price index (WPI) was 14.07 per cent.
Schools and colleges are set to reopen on Monday in three adjoining districts of Chennai, Kancheepuram and Thiruvallur after remaining closed for nearly ten days in view of the monsoon fury.
Finance Minister Arun Jaitley on Wednesday said the country is on an "upward curve" and a good monsoon, GST passage and increased infra and rural spending will further accelerate the growth.
The idea behind advancing the Budget date is to ensure that the Finance Bill is passed before the start of the financial year, on April 1, so that all central government departments get their full allocations to work with right from the first day
Retail inflation fell to a 15-month low of 5.66 per cent in March, mainly due to a decline in food prices, government data showed on Wednesday. The inflation figure in March is within the RBI's comfort zone as it is below 6 per cent. The retail inflation based on Consumer Price Index (CPI) was 6.44 per cent in February 2023 and 6.95 per cent in the year-ago period.
Mahindra & Mahindra (M&M) is setting up a greenfield tractor plant in Mohali near Punjab. Fueled by a strong domestic demand, the expansion is the first in a decade by the world's largest tractor maker. In 2012, the company had set up a facility at Zaheerabad in Telangana.
'It affects our economy, it is very important in many ways.' 'So we have to be the foremost experts in the world on the monsoon.' 'But the best minds in India have not devoted their time to the study of monsoon and they have followed the fashions of the West.'
The finance ministry has cautioned that global and regional uncertainties and domestic disruptions may keep inflationary pressures elevated in the coming months, warranting "greater vigilance" by the government and the Reserve Bank of India (RBI). "Russia's decision to terminate the Black Sea grain deal, along with dry conditions in major wheat-growing areas, caused a price spike in cereals. Domestic factors like white fly disease and an uneven distribution of monsoon exerted pressure on vegetable prices in India," the ministry said in its latest Monthly Economic Report for July, released on Tuesday. However, the report maintained, the recent price surge in certain food items "is expected to be transitory". "Tomato prices are likely to decline with the arrival of fresh stocks by the end of August or early September.
The RBI said recently that the upsurge in inflation in April was led by food and commodity prices.
The RBI on Friday retained inflation forecast for FY23 at 6.7 per cent amid uncertain price trajectory on "geopolitical shocks" and on hope that inflationary pressures would ease with pick-up in kharif sowing and supply chain improvements. In its previous monetary policy review in June, it had projected retail inflation for 2022-23 at 6.7 per cent, higher from 5.7 per cent forecast in April. The six-member Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) unanimously decided to raise the benchmark repo rate by a steep 50 basis points to 5.40 per cent with immediate effect to tame inflation while supporting growth.
The industry expects Iran to purchase at least 1 million tonnes this financial year
Key lending rate (repo) raised by 50 basis points to 4.9 per cent; 2nd increase in 5 weeks
Rating agencies Crisil and Icra on Monday revised down their India growth projections for the current fiscal and the second quarter mainly due to the ripple effect of slowdown in global growth and mixed crop output. Crisil downgraded the India growth forecast by 30 bps to 7 per cent while Icra pegged the economic expansion at 6.5 per cent for the second quarter of FY2022-23. "We have revised down our forecast for real gross domestic product growth to 7 per cent for fiscal 2023 from 7.3 per cent, primarily because of the slowdown in global growth that has started to impact our exports and industrial activity.
India Ic has pulled up its socks to perform even better in FY16.
Analysts say that the focus now shifts to global events
India decisively withstood global headwinds in 2023 and is likely to remain as the world's fastest-growing major economy on the back of growing demand, moderate inflation, stable interest rate regime and robust foreign exchange reserves. Despite widespread pessimism witnessed among the developed nations and the worsening geopolitical situation, India recorded a gross domestic product (GDP) expansion of 6.1 per cent in the March quarter. The growth moved up to 7.8 per cent in the June quarter and was 7.6 per cent in the September quarter. For the first six months of this fiscal, the growth was 7.7 per cent.
Days after Moody's cut its gross domestic product (GDP) forecast for financial year 2022-23 (FY23) after the official GDP print for the June quarter came in lower than expectations, the global ratings agency said it would maintain its long-term sovereign debt credit rating and outlook on Asia's third-largest economy. "The credit profile of India reflects key strengths, including its large and diversified economy with high growth potential, a relatively strong external position, and a stable domestic financing base for government debt," Moody's said on Tuesday. "We do not expect rising challenges to the global economy, including the impact of the Russia-Ukraine military conflict, higher inflation, and the tightening financial conditions on the back of policy tightening, to derail India's ongoing recovery from the pandemic in 2022 and 2023," it said.
About 4.41 lakh rural habitations are facing drinking water scarcity and the government is closely monitoring the drought situation on a daily basis in 10 states, Agriculture Minister Radha Mohan Singh said on Saturday.
The IMD has said temperatures in most parts of the country from March to May would be 'above normal'.
The downward trend in prices might continue as demand is unlikely to recover in May. Moreover, increased production has also put pressure on prices of commodities.
Thackeray held a meeting on the issue and instructed authorities concerned to ensure there is no recurrence of the episode, an official statement said.
The India Meteorological Department introduced the present LRF models during 2007 following review of the old forecasting system.
Indrani Mazumdar ' Mumbai April 23, 2015 Last Updated at 15:57 IST Stock Tips for Tomorrow Subscribe, Know which stocks to buy Tomorrow only Profitable Stock tips www.live-market-tips.com/Tomorrow Ads by Google Add to My Page Tiny URL RELATED NEWS Markets end flat after paring gains; HDFC Bank down 1.6% Sensex, Nifty extend losses; TCS, L&T down 2% Sensex gains over 100 points; Wipro surges nearly 6% Sensex, Nifty up 1%; bank shares zoom Nifty slips below 8,400 mark; HDFC down over 1% Hiranandani Properties Prices Starting at Just 15 Lacs. An Excellent Opportunity. Visit Nowhouseofhiranandani.com Aviva Term Plan Get 1 Cr Life Cover @Rs 16*/day. High Protection at Minimal Cost!avivaindia.com/Term-Insurance Ads by Google Markets ended lower on Thursday despite the clarification on minimum alternate tax by the government while a weak monsoon forecast raised concerns about an uptick in inflation. Further, investors turned cautious ahead of fourth quarter earnings from Infosys while worries about Greece also dampened sentiment. Meanwhile, rating agency Moody's today said emerging economies in Asia Pacific region, including India, have a high degree of immunity to external shocks, but will face challenges when the US Federal Reserve begins raising interest rates. The 30-share Sensex dropped 155 points to end at 27,735 and the 50-share Nifty shed 31 points to close at 8,398. MARKET VIEW "The last 6 out of 7 days, we have witnessed an extreme bout of selling in the key indices and stocks. Every rise getting sold and Bulls coerced to give in recently, with key supports breached. Today, was no different day, where volatility was extreme. We believe that the approach to the market remains cautious. If the indices break the previous low and close below that (i.e. 8270), then it could trigger a short term correction. Else, this could very well be termed as a bounce off the support levels. However, for a new trend to begin, Banknifty has to break 19000 levels. " said Kunal Bothra, Head -Advisory, LKP. ECONOMY The clarification from the Indian government that it would honor tax treaties while making a demand of Minimum Alternate Tax (MAT) at the effective rate of 20 per cent came as a relief for favorable treaty nations. But, dilemma still hangs over funds from other nations whose treaties do not grant an exemption from capital gains. The first monsoon forecast by the Indian Metrological Department (IMD) has predicted below normal rainfall during the season for the second straight year in 2015 primarily due to the build-up of El Nino conditions in the Pacific Ocean. Disruptions in the normal rainfall is likely to put further pressure on the agriculture sector which is already reeling under the impact of unseasonal rains that have damaged crops in parts of country and may lead to higher food inflation making further rate-cuts by Reserve Bank of India less likely. KEY STOCKS On the sectoral front, BSE Healthcare, Auto, Capital Gods, Oil & Gas, Realty and Power indices are trading lower up to 1%. However, BSE Consumer Durables and Metal indices are trading higher by 1% each. Metal stocks ended firm in today's trade after Bank of America-Merrill Lynch said the sector's return on equity will double by FY17 end. The research house reinstated coverage on Indian steel makers, with "buy" ratings on Tata Steel, SAIL, JSW and Jindal Steel and Power. Tata Steel gained 5%. Vedanta (earlier known as Sesa Sterlite) climbed nearly 0.5% and Hindalco was up 0.2%. Coal India advanced 1.3% after Brokerage firm CLSA maintained its 'buy' rating on the stock. YES Bank ended higher by 7% on the National Stock Exchange (NSE) on back of heavy volumes after the private sector lender said that its board approved a proposal to increase foreign institutional investor (FII)/foreign portfolio investors (FPI) limit to 74% from the existing limit of 49% of the paid-up share capital. According to media reports, Maruti Suzuki has plans of launching a series of new cars for the Indian market in 2015. Unveiled at the 2015 Geneva Motor Show, the Maruti Suzuki YRA model will be named as 'Fronx' for the Indian market. The stock was up 1%. TCS ended the session with marginal gains after the company teams up with Solace Systems team to deliver digital Reimagination solutions and services. Select IT shares remained under pressure for the seventh straight session over concerns about quarterly earnings. Infosys shed over 0.7% ahead of the quarterly earnings due tomorrow and Wipro lost nearly 2%. According to reports, M&M is planning to invest Rs 2,500 crore in expaniding its existing auto manufacturing facility in Telangana., which will increase its capacity to 1.5 lakh vehicles per year. The stock slipped over 1%. On the concern of poor monsoons ahead of the June-to-September monsoon season, auto, financials and FMCG stocks ended lower. ITC was down 0.3%, Tata Motors lost over 2%, Hero motocorp shed 1%, HUL slipped 0.6%, SBI dropped 2.4%, Axis Bank and ICICI Bank dipped 0.3% each. HDFC Bank lost 0.4%. HDFC Bank posted a 20.6% rise in net profit in the fourth quarter ended March 31, 2015 due to a higher loan growth. The bank had a net profit to Rs 2806.91 crore for Q4 compared to Rs 2,326.52 crore in same quarter previous fiscal. The number of new launches in residential real estate has come down by 55 per cent in the first quarter this year owing to subdued sales, according to a report. From the realty pack, Unitech, IB Realty, Godrej, Anantraj, HDIL and NBCC were down up to 2%. In the broader market, BSE Midcap index outperformed the peers and was up 0.6%. However, BSE Smallcap index lost 0.2%. Market breadth ended lower with 1,434 declines versus 1,377 advances. Read more on: Nifty ' Sensex ' Nse ' Bse ' Maruti ' Tcs ' Infosys ' Yes Bank ' Hdfc Bank ' Tata Steel Read More Sensex drops 189 points to end below 28,000 Provisionally, the 30-share Sensex ended down 189 points at 27,701 and the 50-share Nifty shed 39 points to close at 8,391 Add to My Page Tiny URL Recommended for you Monthly SIP Investments Invest as low as Rs 1000pm in Top SIPs in just 2mins. Start a ZipSip. www.myuniverse.co.in/ZipSip Luxury 2 & 3 BHK Mumbai Pay 10 lacs now, Rest on Possession 63 Storey Twin Towers in Kandivali lovealpine.com/Special-Offer Ads by Google Advertisements Prof. Mikkel Draebye explains the importance of corporate entrepreneurship. Read More Plan a vacation to unveil the dense wildlife at Tadoba. Buidling a smarter India with our contribution of new automation. Get up to 5 years of onsite warranty & great discounts. Know more Zero Account Opening Fees. Click here to know more $ Daily One Sure Intraday Stock Tip. Get Profit by 11:30 AM @ 0988877963 Leaders should be responsible for organisation and co-workers. "Prof. Massimo Magni" Unveil the marvellous hill stations of Maharashtra Back to Top Quick Links Go LATEST NEWSAll NewsIn This Section Nifty ends shy of 8,400; YES Bank top gainer PDP-BJP coalition govt a change for the worse: Omar Abdullah Arms case: Salman Khan fails to appear in court for recording statement MRF Q2 net surges 95% to Rs 333 crore Banking sector fraud has gone up by more than 10%: Deloitte Building leadership, capabilities in big data labs critical for analytics: Nasscom YES Bank extends intra-day gain on board nod to hike FII/FPI limit to 74% Gammon India to issue Rs 100-crore debentures to promoters Smart maps an $8 bn opportunity for India: Study Exercise financial prudence: Parrikar to Armed Forces News you can use Rss icon Don't reduce PF contribution What is Gratuity? What are NEFT and RTGS? Check your Income Tax Credit credit status form-26AS online Saving capital gain tax on sale of property Calculate tax on your house property income How to Check your EPF Balance & status online Featured Videos Why some of Japan's elderly want to go to jail video The 1341hp electric car beats a Bugatti video The maps that tell you when it's safe to breathe video How to add Michael Jordan's shoes to your portfolio video MOST POPULARReadSharedCommented BK Birla group plans mega recast Samsung to set up $100-mn plant in Hyderabad Rains seen below normal for 2nd straight year Jet Airways puts its wide-body fleet on sale to reduce debt FIIs with tax pact shield may be exempt from MAT Market News Signs of steel prices bottoming out a ray of hope for steel players CNX Metal index that fell to one-year lows of close to 2,293 in mid-March now trading at 2,460 levels Markets under pressure; Sensex slips below 27,800 The auto and capital goods space are exerting pressure on the indices in noon trades. Ashoka Buildcon dips after pricing QIP issue at discount The board has approved issue of 2.84 crore shares to Qualified Institutional Buyers at Rs 175.80 per share Cardamom rises by 0.4% as demand picks up Speculators created fresh positions at prevailing levels, taking positive cues from spot market on pick up in demand Crude palm oil falls by 0.1% on sluggish demand speculators indulged in reducing positions due to subdued demand in spot market The 30-share Sensex dropped 155 points to end at 27,735 and the 50-share Nifty shed 31 points to close at 8,398.
Rating agency Icra has revised down its GDP growth estimate to 5.7 per cent, citing absence of concrete improvements in the investment sentiment, weaker monsoon and a likely rise in inflation, which limit RBI's room to spur the growth by cutting rates.
'The actions of Indian monetary authorities will depend on how quickly they want the inflation to come down to 4 per cent.'
The broader markets outperformed the benchmark indices- BSE Midcap and Smallcap indices gained 0.4% each
Tamil Nadu continued to experience monsoon fury, with heavy rains pounding various parts of the state under the influence of a well marked low pressure area over Bay of Bengal, as the death toll from rain-related incidents climbed to 59.
Sowing of crops at this point of time, when the onset of monsoon is delayed and chances of good rains are less, will only push up the cost for farmers and also hamper the yield of the crop: Skymet.
'Limited spillovers' to Asia's third-largest economy, even as world 'perilously close' to recession.
Rajan also said the outlook for agriculture is subdued, in view of both rabi and kharif prospects being hit by monsoon vagaries.
The sharp rally in the broader markets has propelled India's market capitalisation (m-cap) to a new high. The combined m-cap of all BSE-listed firms rose to Rs 291.9 trillion in intraday trade on Thursday before settling lower at Rs 290.9 trillion. The previous record was on December 14, 2022, at Rs 291.3 trillion.
Heavy rain alert continued in Himachal Pradesh as the monsoon intensified in the various districts of the state.
Ahead of the Economic Survey, industry body Ficci today lowered its GDP growth forecast for the current fiscal, pegging India's economic expansion rate at 5.3 per cent compared to its 5.5 per cent previous estimate.
Rising crude oil prices, traction in China equities and inflation concerns back home are casting a shadow on the Indian equity markets in the short term, believe analysts at Jefferies. They said this could see the markets remaining range-bound in the near term before the next leg up.
The maximum temperature at the Safdarjung Observatory, Delhi's base station, is likely to rise to 45 degrees Celsius.
RBI had previously cut repo rate by 0.25% each in January and March.
Normal monsoon makes FMCG, automobile and consumer durable companies optimistic about growth prospects
Indian equity markets had a good run in the first half of calendar year 2023 (CY23), with the S&P BSE Sensex and the National Stock Exchange Nifty50 hitting fresh 52-week highs. While the Sensex scaled up to a peak 64,718, the Nifty50 hit Mt 19,189. As the markets now prepare to enter the second half (H2) of CY23, all eyes are on global central banks, especially the US Federal Reserve, as to when they will pause and pivot as regards their interest-rate cycle.
